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Post by grassgreener on Nov 2, 2020 17:49:06 GMT -5
Anyone hear anything about future ALJ hiring - seems relatively quiet for a while,
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Post by hopefalj on Nov 2, 2020 19:41:01 GMT -5
Since there are growing concerns about enough cases being available for the current corps heading into 2021, I don’t think it’s top of mind right now.
And I know the automatic response to that comment is “Yeah, but the backlog at DDS!!!!” While certainly true, the effects won’t be known for a while in terms of how well the current ALJs will handle it (the backlog was shrinking at a rapid rate pre-Covid), and even if more ALJs are needed/warranted, the agency lacks the vision and nimbleness to hire in a timely manner. It’ll wait until it’s back over a million before it ramps up hiring again.
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Post by Ace Midnight on Nov 2, 2020 22:46:01 GMT -5
Is there any hard data about the DDS backlog?
Obviously, they will not be able to clear it instantly and I think we're poised to handle a steady flow of cases before getting much of a backlog over the next 2 FY. My only real concern is if ALJ attrition spikes, it wouldn't take much to pull us close to 1000 judges over a 24-month period (about how long I think they will be able to hire a single new ALJ, but they could surprise me) - that's only 500k adjudications, on paper, per year.
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Post by redsox1 on Nov 3, 2020 6:48:37 GMT -5
If the AAJ regulations go through TPTB may just detail or hire AAJ’s in the future.
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Post by roymcavoy on Nov 3, 2020 8:35:03 GMT -5
I personally thought the biggest impetus for hiring into select offices was that there was no automatic allowance to force claimants into video hearings.
With CV standards, all hearings are phone hearings. Thus, until a vaccine is deployed and things get back to normal, I don’t see any need for hiring into even those offices that are severely depleted ALJ-wise.
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Post by hopefalj on Nov 5, 2020 19:33:54 GMT -5
Is there any hard data about the DDS backlog? Obviously, they will not be able to clear it instantly and I think we're poised to handle a steady flow of cases before getting much of a backlog over the next 2 FY. My only real concern is if ALJ attrition spikes, it wouldn't take much to pull us close to 1000 judges over a 24-month period (about how long I think they will be able to hire a single new ALJ, but they could surprise me) - that's only 500k adjudications, on paper, per year. I’m sure the information is somewhere since we’re oh so adept at tracking that sort of information, but I am unwilling to put forth the effort to see if we have access to it. My information is largely anecdotal from reps who tell me they have a bunch hung up at recon.
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Post by nylawyer on Nov 5, 2020 20:25:55 GMT -5
Take this with an enormous grain of salt, this is just a quick calculation using Excel and raw data.
With that disclaimer- here is what I got
Sept 2019
192,061 receipts 593,072 pending 192,553 determinations
Sept 2020
159,179 receipts 762,905 pending 195,942 determinations
Feel free to shoot my math down, just keep the personal insults to about a 4 or 5. (Translation- you can call me an idiot, but leave my mother out of it)
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